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A Review of Global Warming: The Science and Resulting Policies

Page history last edited by Justin Spratt 12 years, 9 months ago

Or, Sweeping Back the Tide

Section Heading 1

nuclear catastrophe analogy

We have the capacity to do great harm our environment. Since the dawn of the nuclear age, our capabilities of destruction have outstripped earths capacity to regenerate. I will therefore not be making the argument that we can do no harm to our environment--yet, most significantly, I call the environment 'our environment.' I believe that the specific purpose of creation is to be a resource for mankind and not visa versa. If I am wrong in this, then certainly we should end humanity immediately and let the earth return to some "natural" state (heading toward the heat death of the universe no doubt). But I am not wrong.
Considering this--that creation is a resource for man--any discussion of environmental science and policy, being nessisarily grounded in cost/benefit analyses, will take on an economic tone, net economic benefit or harm being the best quantitative measurement of human wellbeing. Since creation is a resource for man, the alarming claims regarding harm to humans made by global warming proponents need actual investigation.
On the other hand, if a "natural" environmental state is the goal of such alarming claims then no investigation is needed; just believe the alarm and amend your ways. As the 1991 Club of Rome Report states: "In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill. All these dangers are caused by human intervention, and it is only through changed attitudes and behavior that they can be overcome. The real enemy then, is humanity itself."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_Guidestones
"No matter if the science is all phony, there are collateral environmental benefits…. climate change [provides] the greatest chance to bring about justice and equality in the world." [Calgary Herald, December 14, 1998]. (See: http://www.appinsys.com/globalwarming/GW_History.htm)
http://www.appinsys.com/GlobalWarming/gw_about.htm
Whatever the motives behind the popularization of global warming, there are scientific issues to be investagated

sweeping back the tide theme
The key question: what should we do?
What we agree on

observations

result of clean, environmentally friendly burning (after all other contaminants have been removed)
rise (period)

http://www.strom.clemson.edu/becker/prtm320/commons/carbon3.html

no change in ratio between atmospheric concentration of CO2 and oceanic and terrestrial concentrations of CO2

methane rise and stall

sea level rise (period)

What we disagree on

some observations

http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2010/03/30/nasa-data-worse-than-climategate-data/

interpretations of observations

Lindzen.ppt
"hockeystick" graph

McKitrick-hockeystick.pdf
Climate_L.pdf
http://climateresearchnews.com/2009/09/the-hockey-stick-is-dead/

proxy data
land based temperature records

urban heat island effect

effect of volcanic activity
medevil warm period

the models

models fail to account for a variety of data

http://www.co2science.org/

What the debate is over (runaway, catastrophic warming)

temperature and CO2 related effects

heat deaths
drought
sea level rise
hurricanes

Science must trump authority

the "consensus" response vs. the real consensus on observation

"all scientists agree" newsweek, 1988
media switches back and forth on warming/cooling

http://epw.senate.gov/speechitem.cfm?party=rep&id=263759
http://epw.senate.gov/repwhitepapers/HOT%20AND%20COLD%20MEDIA%20SPIN%20CYCLE.pdf
http://epw.senate.gov/pressitem.cfm?party=rep&id=263746
History of Climate Scares.pdf

31,000

http://www.oism.org/pproject/

Manhattan declaration

http://www.climatescienceinternational.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=37&Itemid=54

http://www.theclimatescam.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/04/cato-annons.jpg

why climategate is important

"hide the decline" trick
http://www.ocregister.com/articles/-234092--.html

positive vs. negative feedback

Dr. Richard Lindzen's empirical work
lindzen_neg_feedbacks.pdf
Lindzen.ppt
models vs. reality
23_IRIS.pdf
222_Exchange.pdf
L_R-Exchange.pdf
230_TakingGr.pdf
WE%20Riposte%20to%20Critique.pdf

long tem cycles in climate

unstopable global warming every 1,500 years
sweeping back the tide theme

making the attribution claim in the face of greater forcings (30 year pause in warming)

if bigger effects exist, how can you attribute a warming to humans while a cooling to natural cycles that can overpower human activity?

policies

the UN's IPCC vs. the Heartland's ICCC
CO2 is a product of clean burning
importance of cost/benefit analysises
mitigation

reduce CO2 in atmosphere
reduce temperature

block solar radiation

increase land levels
alternative energy (solar, wind, tidal, ...)

subsidies
spain

cost/benefit (ultimate global warming challenge)

adaptation

regional vs. global
short vs. long timescale
cost/benefit analysis
Lindzen.ppt

sweeping back the tide theme
humanitarianism vs. environmentalism

people vs. the environment
more pressing humanitarian objectives (clean water, clean energy, ...)

global warming religion

environmentalist quotes

"The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed -- and hence clamorous to be led to safety -- by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary" --Henry Louis Mencken

look

Watch Lindzen deconstruct global warming alarm:

watch?v=-sHg3ZztDAw

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-sHg3ZztDAw

Proceedings from the third International Conference on Climate Change are now available

Take a look at the proceedings from third International Conference on Climate Change. There are some fantastic presentations and they are all available for free for download in .mp3 and .flv (video) format. Many presentations include slides in .ppt format. Don't forget to take a look at the proceedings from the second ICCC conference also.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KCzs6SWhcVo&NR=1

http://www.cornwallalliance.org/docs/a-call-to-truth-prudence-and-protection-of-the-poor.pdf

http://www.wunderground.com/climate/SeaLevelRise.asp?MR=1

"“People often ask about the costs,” said Kevin Parker, the global head of Deutsche Bank Asset Management, who tracks climate policy for the bank. “But the figures people tend to cite don’t take into account conservation and efficiency measures that are easily available. And they don’t look at the cost of inaction, which is the extinction of the human race. Period.”"

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/09/science/earth/09cost.html

http://www.heartland.org/full/24841/Climate_Alarm_What_We_Are_Up_Against_and_What_to_Do.html

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Satellite_Temperatures.png

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KCzs6SWhcVo&NR=1

http://www.climatescienceinternational.net/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=37&Itemid=54

http://www.globalwarming.org/

http://www.desmogblog.com/new-nasa-satellite-map-pinpoints-worldwide-sea-level-rise

http://epw.senate.gov/speechitem.cfm?party=rep&id=263759

http://www.wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=52748

http://newsbusters.org/node/11640

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704888404574547730924988354.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/climategate-computer-codes-are-the-real-story/